Maddog wrote:
I was going to bring up the Swiss also. If the UK wants to be an honorary member, that's different. The Swiss have done quite well with their own currency and keeping their monetary policy and legal system "in house".
Trade agreements are much different then becoming a member of a group that now dictates policy to a sovereign nation.
The problem with the Swiss/Norway comparison is that both of those countries are very small (Norways pop is less than half the size of London) and their economies are not strong enough to pose a threat. The UK on the other hand would be in direct competition with the major EU countries, and certainly with a United States of Europe, and therefore it would be harder for them to exist outside the EU without it damaging their global position.
There is a good piece here about the subject and how a centralised Europe is desired by European capital in order to compete with its rivals in China, America, and India, etc., it would give them the size advantage that America has benefited from. Outside of this Britain would be a competitor and treated like one, as well as it being less desirable to big capital.
Even those things that Britain gains from, at the moment, such as its role as a financial centre, would be destroyed, because there is no reason that an EU State would simply allow London to continue to play that role. Almost inevitably a new European financial hub would be established in Frankfurt, and London would be sidelined.
http://boffyblog.blogspot.com/2011/10/d ... itain.html