MungoBrush wrote:Cactus Jack wrote: if you look at it nationally. The UK has increasingly become a map of electoral regions where the South East is essentially True Blue and North East Deep Red with others picking out different places in the spectrum. One thing I'm sure of is where the Tories are most vulnerable it's to the Liberal Democrats - and that's not Labour's problem it's their opportunity.
I think that its more the case that most of the UK is blue with a few densely packed in Labour seats
You make my point where you think you're countering it.
Labour is largely in its heartlands not straying much outside but not likely to lose.
The Tories are vulnerable to the SNP in Scotland - where they will certainly lose most of their 13 seats - and to the Lib Dems in the South West of England where the Lib Dems will come back strongly as the South West is so dependent on European markets and subsidies.
Meanwhile the SDLP, a strongly remain party in Northern Ireland, will challenge Sinn Fein based on the latter's policy of abstentionism and UUP will oust the DUP in border areas.
A General Election now would be as big a miscalculation for Boris as it was for Theresa May and for exactly the same reasons - a campaign will highlight and throw the Tory splits into sharp relief.